Victoria decides: Labor wins in a landslide election
After what has been described as an election bloodbath, Labor’s Daniel Andrews has claimed victory for his second consecutive term as Victoria’s Premier.
At a Labor celebratory event at the Village Green in Mulgrave, an elated Andrews told voters they have chosen a “positive and optimistic plan for our state” from the “most progressive Government in the nation”.
The landslide election victory had been predicted earlier this month by Newspoll statistics. An election day Galaxy poll had also predicted a Labor win and ABC election analyst Anthony Green had called a Labor victory within 90 minutes of polls closing.
As it stands, The ABC has reported that 71.1 per cent of votes have been counted with Labor holding 52 of the 88 seats, Liberals taking 24 and the Greens yet to score a seat.
In the wake of the overwhelming Liberal loss, Matthew Guy has thanked his supporters in a concession speech at the Veneto Club in Bulleen and congratulated the re-elected Premier.
“Tonight is clearly not our night, we know that, we acknowledge that, we accept that, our time in the sun will come again,” Mr Guy said.
Shadow Attorney-General John Pesutto told the ABC a “root-and-branch review” of the party is in order and urget action should be taken for the Liberals to “get back on the right foot”.
“Something’s gone horribly wrong,” Mr Pesutto said.
In light of the defeat, Former Premier Jeff Kennett has urged Liberal party state president Michael Kroger to resign.
“Michael, if you’re listening, it’s 8.20pm – by midnight, I hope your resignation is on the floor,” Mr Kennett told Seven News.
In Canberra, the Federal government has distanced itself from the resounding Liberal loss in Victoria.
Federal Treasurer Josh Frydenberg said “Scott Morrison and I and other federal colleagues didn’t play an active role in this campaign, and it was fought on state (issues).”
It remains to be answered how Labor’s majority win in Victoria will impact the federal election held in May 2019.
Below is the outcome from 2014 and the current outcome for the Legislative Assembly (keep scrolling for charts on the Legislative Council!). We will update it as seats are called.
This is what the current Legislative Assembly looks like. We will update it as counting progresses. You can see how the Lower House looked like after the 2014 State Election by clicking on the tab.
And, in case you are wondering, this is a treemap chart of the Legislative Assembly by party and gender of its members. Once we get the 2018 result, we’ll give you the new one!
Legislative Council
Below is the outcome from 2014 and the current outcome for the Legislative Council. We will update it as counting progresses.
This is what the current Legislative Council looks like. We will update it as counting progresses. You can see how the Upper House looked like after the 2014 State Election by clicking on the tab.
And here’s a breakdown by party and gender in the Upper House as it stood before this 2018 election.
Labor takes the seat of Frankston
The results are in for the marginal seat of Frankston with a majority Labor victory.
As it stands on the Victorian Electoral Commission Virtual Tally Room, the ALP has won 49 per cent of the primary vote with the L/NP gaining 31 per cent (7.54pm).
The win in Frankston will see Paul Edbrooke retain his seat which he won on a 0.5 per cent Labor margin in 2014.
Labor members in Frankston overjoyed at the latest results showing Labor’s @paul4frankston has held his seat. pic.twitter.com/XaHCo38XwM
— Timna Jacks (@TimnaJacks) November 24, 2018
Live Update
The ABC has reported that 8.7 per cent of votes have been counted and the votes are showing a majority Labor win.
Currently, in the Legislative Assembly, the ALP has won 44 seats, the L/NP has claimed 16 seats and minorities have secured 3.
ABC election analyst Anthony Green and the Uni Poll Watch have called a Labor win.
Green told ABD TV “there is nothing in any figures we’re seeing at the moment which points to anything but a Labor victory”.
Party like a Premier
The celebrations (or commiserations) will kick off shortly as supporters arrive at the election night party.
The Liberals will be holding their election night commiserations at the Veneto Club in Bulleen with Labor at the Village Green Hotel in Mulgrave.
A few Labor supporters are starting to trickle in to Daniel Andrew’s election night soirée at a pub in his Mulgrave electorate. More action next door at a sweet 16 birthday party though. pic.twitter.com/oXeA9yNG4b
— Lisa Martin (@LMARTI) November 24, 2018
Very generous amount of fried pub snacks on #election night #VillageGreenHotel #LaborHQ @7NewsMelbourne pic.twitter.com/7CxA68IG8H
— Hannah Jenkins (@hannah_jenkins) November 24, 2018
A few Liberal volunteers have filtered into the Veneto Club after handing out at voting centres. In good spirits. pic.twitter.com/Cs1HGQTGVf
— Adam Carey (@adamlcarey) November 24, 2018
Election Day 2018 at a glance
With polling booths now closed and counting underway, the next Victorian Premier is set to be announced within hours.
The Victorian Electoral Commission Warwick Gately said they will attempt to count 75 per cent of the lower house first preferences by tonight. However, postal votes will continue to be counted until November 30.
Both Matthew Guy and Daniel Andrews have been seen mixing amongst voters at polling booths. Guy was spotted enjoying a sausage sizzle at Sherbourne Primary School near Eltham and Daniel Andrews was pictured voting at Albany Rise in his electorate of Mulgrave.
An early Galaxy poll has tipped Mr Andrews to take out the role of Premier, but the results have been met with mixed reactions.
In an interview by the ABC at the Liberal HQ, Libreral party state president Michael Kroger has said the predictions polls are “inevitable wrong”.
“A lot of polls have been wrong over the years. At the very worst we hope for a hung parliament, take a few seats off Labor” Mr Kroger said.
Stephen Conroy, a former Labor federal senator said in an interview with Skye news it is “hard to watch the left flank”. He said it will be difficult for the Coalition to gain seats, particularly if the inner-city seats of Richmond and Brunswick fall under the Greens.
Polls closed
Across Victoria, polls have now closed. A Galaxy poll has predicted a majority Labor win with 55 per cent. Counting has begun and offical results will be released later this evening.
Exit poll predicts majority Labor victory
As Victorian polls draw to a close, an election day Galaxy poll has predicted Labor will claim a majority win, taking 55 per cent of the vote and 45 per cent for the Coalition.
Looking at primary votes, the poll predicts Labor will receive 41 per cent, the Coalition holding 38 per cent and the Greens taking 12 per cent.
But Liberal party president Michael Kroger has hit back at the results on Channel Nine news, saying the Liberals won’t accept defeat until the official results are announced later this evening.
Mr Kroger said a win for the Andrews government is due to Labor’s election promises which have “thrown free money at Victorians”.
The Victorian Electoral Commission has noted the 2018 election has seen a rise in early votes with 1,388,799 recorded, compared to 912, 967 in 2014.
Candidate distributes unregistered election pamphlets in Richmond
A Liberal party member has been found distributing unregistered election pamphlets in the marginal seat of Richmond.
Fitzroy resident, Kevin Quoc Tran, is running as an independent Liberal candidate, despite the party’s decision to withdraw from the electorate after an unsuccessful bid to make a deal with Labor.
Mr Tran will be contesting Labor Planning Minister Richard Wynne and Green’s candidate Kathleen Maltzahn for the seat of Richmond.
During his campaign, Tran has expressed concerns the Liberal party has neglected the voters in Richmond by the decision to withdraw.
The Victorian Electoral Commission has ordered Tran to stop the distribution of the unregistered material.
Liberal Party volunteers actually handing out for Kevin Quoc Tran in Greens-Labor marginal seat of Richmond – despite Libs not running Kevin as an endorsed candidate. pic.twitter.com/49QHTvStTK
— Clay Lucas (@ClayLucas) November 24, 2018
The #democracysausage
As Victorians descend on polling booths across the state, there will be one more decisions for voters to make.
The democracy sausage has become an Australian tradition with voters queuing to grab themselves a celebratory snag, where the big decisions will come down to whether the topping will be tomato sauce, mustard, onion or a mixture of the three.
Website ‘Democracy Sausage’, run by a self-described group of ‘democracy sausage enthusiasts,’ have been mapping in real-time the availability (or lack of) sausages and cakes around polling booths nation-wide.
This year, electorates have been spicing up the tradition, including a ‘democracy falafel’ from a polling booth in Brunswick.
It remains to be seen whether the newly implemented Bunnings rule of ‘onion under sausage’ will be enforced.
While voters may not be able to agree on the choice of Premier, it seems the demand for a #democracysausage is one campaign which all Victorians can back.
The only acceptable preference deal #democracysausage pic.twitter.com/XMSeajX4mj
— Andrew Donegan (@Rew_Writes) November 24, 2018
Matthew Guy hoping for a fair suck of the sauce bottle today. This morning he bought a round of snags at his old primary school in Eltham #vicvotes pic.twitter.com/PquMsSPntg
— Tom Cowie 🐄 (@tom_cowie) November 24, 2018
God I love Brunswick. #democracysausage #VicElection2018 pic.twitter.com/i7ICXqzyzF
— Jess Brackin 💫 (@jessica_brackin) November 24, 2018